Three-year IT Skills Forecast
Assessing the skill forecasts
The agency CIO survey provided agency-specific forecasts of the need for specific IT skills over the next three years. CIOs assigned a forecast to each of the 126 skills based on their knowledge of their agency operations and strategies. CIOs selected their forecasts from the following choices:
-
In use and growing – currently in use and expect use to increase over the next three years
-
Steady state – currently in use and expect use to remain stable over the next three years
-
In use, but declining – currently in use, but expect use to decline over the next three years
-
Possible adoption – planning to explore or currently exploring for possible adoption in the next three years
-
None expected – not currently in use and not expected to be used over the next three years
-
Don’t know – do not know if this skill or technology will be used within the next three years
As with proficiency ratings and training demand, there is no one best way to assess the forecast data. Different agencies are in different phases of skill adoption and use based on their missions, size, and previous history. Therefore, we looked at the three-year forecasts in several ways.
